022
FXUS62 KFFC 291042
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
642 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Dry and temperate conditions persist through the end of the
    work week amid a gradual warming trend.

  - Rain chances increase into the weekend, highest late Saturday
    into Sunday.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 325 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

High pressure over the northeast in conjunction with the low
pressure system off the southeast coast will be our main pattern
for today resulting in morning cloud cover over the northeast.
Patchy fog is also possible in low lying areas through the morning
hours especially for central Georgia. As skies clear out temps
will warm into the mid to upper 70s today which is around 5
degrees above normal. For Friday the pattern begins to change as
we see the upper level ridging continue to dampen and the trough
to our west begin pushing into the Arklatex region. At the
surface we will see one more day of high pressure but with
moisture beginning to return to the area ahead of the next chance
for rain. Temps Friday will be in the upper 70s to low 80s across
the area as a result. Morning lows continue to be in the mid to
upper 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

Weekend conditions remain uncertain with high model variability in
the ejection of a mid level shortwave out of the southwest.
Precipitation output from this system has trended both later (more
towards late Sunday to early Monday) and with less QPF. The main
modes of variability are associated with the low which is currently
being cut-off over the southwest coast. Models notoriously have a
difficult time resolving cut-off low movement and the GFS trends are
likely moving in the right, slower, direction. What this means for
the southeast is more time for the polar ridge to move overhead,
countering some of the lift potential going into the late weekend.

Another factor of import will be where the southern terminating edge
of the near surface high ends. This will determine where PWATs drop
off and could act as a focal point for any precipitation. This
effect can be seen when comparing PWATs for the GFS and ECMWF. A
more southerly boundary of the high means low level easterly flow
developed CAD may limit moisture more towards PWATs of 1" rather
than 1.5"+.

Temperatures are likely to continue their downtrend as we get into
the Sunday-Monday timeframe. CAD will reduce highs, though we will
likely still reach the 60s with lower moisture. Conditions rewarm
into the 70s as the shortwave passes and high pressure redevelops
into mid next week.

&&


.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period with a low chance for
MVFR to affect eastern portions of the area through 12z this
morning. Deck around 5kft is likely to affect the area through the
day today before clearing out again. NE winds at 5-10kt through
the period.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          77  51  79  55 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         77  55  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     75  47  78  53 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    78  48  80  56 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        80  57  81  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     75  53  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           80  55  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            77  45  79  52 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  77  51  79  56 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         81  58  82  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Hernandez