313
FXUS62 KFFC 011003
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
603 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Daily rain and thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast
  through Tuesday with drier conditions expected to end the week.

- A marginal risk is in place for north Georgia through tonight
  for a low- end chance for strong gusty winds as an MCS
  approaches from the north.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 307 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Wedge is still in place as evidenced by the overcast low clouds in
place on satellite and northeast winds. Should see this wedge
temporarily retreat today as winds turn to the NW through the
morning into the early afternoon. During that time, expecting a
few patches of blue skies with scattered cloud cover today which
should allow temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 80s
across the area. Looking towards the late afternoon into the
evening, a MCS looks to approach the north Georgia as early as
1-2pm before pushing southward. Expecting this MCS to push more
into Alabama though due to better parameters in this area plus the
influence of the wedge still in the Carolinas. There is a low end
chance that if the MCS is able to hold together we could see an
area of showers and isolated thunderstorms push all the way to
near Macon area closer to 10pm. More than likely though, the MCS
will fizzle out as it gets closer to the metro as it looses most
of the forcing/better environmental parameters. This is why the
main risk will be in north Georgia today where a Marginal Risk has
been depicted. This will be for strong to damaging wind gusts with
that first initial push. Areas of north Georgia that have
received quite a bit of rainfall in this past week may be more
susceptible to tree damage with looser soils.

Looking at tomorrow, another pseudo wedge looks to push into the
area again with winds turning to the northeast and cloud cover
settling back in. Temperatures will also be cool with highs in the
mid to upper 70s. Rain chances Tuesday will be confined more
towards central Georgia but the storm mode does seem to be more
organized in nature which coincides with the Day 2 Marginal Risk
over this area. This will still be more conditional though with
it`s setup so have elected to lower PoPs a touch over this area.
North Georgia looks to start the dry trend a bit early on Tuesday
with rain chances staying mostly <40%.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 307 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Pattern change remains on tap for the middle to end of the week.
Upper level omega block breaks down as it is squeezed between waves
over the eastern and western CONUS. Upper level low drives a front
through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday that brings cooler,
drier airmass into north and central Georgia that will remain with
us through the end of the week. Lows on Wednesday morning will be
brisk for June with temps in the 50s across the entire CWA. I`d say
bring a coat, but with the Georgia sun we will quickly warm into the
upper 70s to low 80s by the afternoon. Airmass is dry and will
modify quickly, allowing for gradual warming into the weekend with
highs in the 80s.

We remain dry through most of the long term - as much as we need the
rain, I`d like to get the chance to mow my overgrown lawn, so I`ll
take the break. Next chance of rain looks like it could be going
into the beginning of next week, as ensembles show some signs of
moisture return and a system that could clip the area as it swings
around a building ridge over the eastern CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 551 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Widespread IFR/MVFR CIGs across the area currently. Occasional
LIFR is occurring over ATL this morning with periods of tower in
clouds expected through 14z. These should continue through the
early morning hours before slowly lifting to SCT VFR ~3-4kft by
~17-18z. Reduced VSBYs down to 5SM remain possible especially at
MCN through the morning as well. Winds pick up out of the NW
~12-14z today at around 7-8kt. Low chance for TSRA to affect TAF
sites from 21-02z tomorrow evening as a cluster of storms dives
southward.


//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Low confidence on TSRA chances.
Medium to high on all other elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          87  63  75  54 /  30  10  20  10
Atlanta         86  68  78  58 /  40  20  30  10
Blairsville     81  60  72  50 /  40  20  50  10
Cartersville    86  65  80  56 /  40  20  30   0
Columbus        90  69  86  60 /  10  20  50  30
Gainesville     85  64  74  56 /  30  10  30   0
Macon           87  67  82  56 /  10  20  50  20
Rome            86  65  80  56 /  30  20  20   0
Peachtree City  87  66  80  56 /  30  20  40  10
Vidalia         86  69  84  57 /  10  20  70  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Hernandez