284
FXUS62 KFFC 262328
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
628 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025


...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 622 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

- Clearing and drying conditions over the course of the day
      today will lead to a cool and pleasant Thanksgiving,
      weather-wise.

- Drier and cooler weather will persist through at least Saturday
  with any chance for rain likely holding off until next week.

- Fire weather conditions will need to be monitored Thursday
      through Saturday due to low relative humidity.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

Initial cold front has progressed across the area this morning into
the afternoon. Showers across east central Georgia have come to an
end with only impacts remaining being mostly scattered cloud cover.
Airmass with more Arctic connections has yet to make it into the
area, so temperatures this afternoon have risen into the 60s and
70s, making for a pleasant, if a little windy, afternoon. The
aforementioned cold air will arrive this evening into the overnight
hours as the main Arctic front sweeps through the CWA as shortwave
embedded within the broader upper level trough progresses eastward.
Temperatures tonight will fall into the 30s and lower 40s across
north and central Georgia as colder air filters in.

Tomorrow will see clear skies and much drier air across the CWA.
Your Thanksgiving Day forecast will have highs only reach into the
50s in many locations (and may not even make it there in far north
Georgia). Winds will remain elevated in the post frontal airmass as
afternoon mixing brings down some stronger gusts from aloft. Models
often struggle with properly handling this post frontal mixing, so
winds were bumped up a touch compared to NBM output. The other
consequence of this mixing will be drier air being brought to the
surface from aloft, so Tds were also brought down compared to NBM
guidance. This means that afternoon RHs may dip low enough in
portions of central Georgia to warrant a Fire Danger Statement,
especially given ongoing drought conditions that saw little relief
with the recent rainfall in these areas. Any FDS issuance will
likely happen with the overnight forecast package.

Temperatures Thursday night will be even colder, dipping below
freezing across north and central Georgia. As a reminder, the
Frost/Freeze program has ended across the area given Georgia has
already seen a hard freeze and we are past the "traditional"
agricultural growing season. Still be sure to protect any exposed
pipes, ensure animals have a warm space, and protect any remaining
outdoor plants which could be damaged. In the past I would have
warned folks to bundle up for the Friday post Thanksgiving shopping
madness, but who waits in line outside for hours these days?

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

Dry, cool, and mostly sunny conditions continue through the start
of the weekend as surface high pressure and dry upper-level NW
flow remain parked over the region. The pattern will start to
shift Saturday night into early Sunday as a stout upper-level
shortwave and associated surface low eject out of the Midwest up
across the Great Lakes region. This system will send a weakening
frontal boundary into the Southeast U.S., bringing the return of
rain chances to north and central GA. Despite only being 4 days
out, there is quite a bit of spread in the guidance on the
strength of this front, with the consensus favoring, at most,
scattered rain showers. Depending on the timing of the front and
strength of the existing shallow cold airmass, there is a non-
zero chance of wintry precip in far NE GA mountains. This threat
will become clearer in the coming days.

Beyond the weekend, ensemble guidance continues to have a large
spread on the upper level pattern with the potential for several
disturbances to move through the region. Regardless of the timing
of these disturbances, the guidance consensus has moist SW flow
over the region which would support occasional rain chances and
gradual warming back to near-normal temperatures from the early
to middle portions of next week.

Culver

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

VFR clouds are expected through the TAF period, with some
dissipating clouds between 040-060 in the next couple of hours and
a few passing upper clouds. Winds will be NW through the period,
around 8-10 kts with gusts up to 20 kts tonight through Thursday
morning, increasing to 10-13 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts after
15-16Z.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          35  52  30  49 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         36  50  31  47 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     28  44  22  40 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    32  50  25  47 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        37  56  31  53 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     35  50  31  47 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           37  56  31  53 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            36  54  29  51 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  33  52  28  49 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         40  60  33  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...King