158
FXUS63 KFGF 292316
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
616 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above average temperatures are forecast this weekend into next
  week.

- Scattered showers return Saturday, with more widespread rain
  chances early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026

...Synopsis...

Surface high pressure is in place following last night`s cold
front. This will maintain dry and seasonable conditions through
Friday. Water vapor satellite imagery shows moisture flowing
eastward into the region to allow for clouds to increase in the
mid levels tonight. Starting Friday, ensemble guidance all
points toward upper ridging building into the Northern Plains
with a southwest flow pattern. This will trend temperatures
toward above average, particularly by Saturday. The way this
upper ridging builds with moisture transport can also promote
low stratus, fog/drizzle - especially heading into November.
This continues to lower confidence in exactly how warm
temperatures get. With at least partial sun, temperatures could
soar well into the 60s Sunday into Monday.

...Increasing Rain Chances...

Getting into early to mid next week, ensemble guidance is mostly
in agreement on some extent of rain event as an upper shortwave
trough in the Southwest translates into the Central Plains.
While the best forcing looks to remain south of our area, there
could be enough influence from this feature to bring the next
round of light to moderate rain into the forecast, heavily
favoring the southern zones. A lack of cold air behind the
system results in near zero chance for frozen precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026

VFR skies and light winds will be the story through the period
with some mid level VFR clouds moving through the south this
evening. No impacts to operations expected.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JZ
AVIATION...TT