Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
509
FNUS55 KFGZ 100755
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Saturday...Widespread wetting rains, with
the highest accumulations expected in Yavapai, Coconino, and
northern Gila counties. A Flood Watch will be in effect for most of
northern Arizona through the period. Isolated strong thunderstorms
also possible. Winds are south through southeast 5-15 mph on Friday,
then southwest 10-20 mph on Saturday. Gusty and erratic winds can be
expected near showers/thunderstorms.
Sunday through Tuesday...Storm coverage becomes more isolated to
scattered during this period. Daytime winds south through southwest
10-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds can be
expected near showers/thunderstorms.
AZZ115-110115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....62-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....42-52.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................90 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to southwest
around 25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 59 to
68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-110115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83 at the River...60-70 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent at the River...56-66 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....59-65 at the River...47-57 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........66-86 percent at the River...80-100 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....73-83 at the River...59-69 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........42-52 percent at the River...56-66 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 69 to 79. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 70 to 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 70 to
80. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to
25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-110115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72 below 5000 feet...around 68 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........52-62 percent below 5000 feet...63 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 62 below 5000 feet...around 59 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 67 below 5000 feet...around 62 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........77 percent below 5000 feet...81 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 63 to
73. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 62 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 61 to
70. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph increasing to
30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-110115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Rain
showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................90 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....74-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 70 to 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 69 to
79. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-110115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....57-62 below 5000 feet...52-61 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
30 mph after midnight.
PoP.................90 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....64-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
65 to 75. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning
becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 63 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ105-110115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....57-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........72-92 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 67 to 77. West winds around 10 mph
shifting to the northwest in the morning, then becoming light in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 67 to
77. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 68 to
78. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ104-110115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-74 below 7000 feet...58-66 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48-58 percent below 7000 feet...54-64 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....49-57 below 7000 feet...43-50 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-73 below 7000 feet...56-66 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48-58 percent below 7000 feet...56-66 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 68. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 60 to
70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-110115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-74 on the Plateau...76-86 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent on the Plateau...44-54 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....49-57 on the Plateau...58-67 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...72-92 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-71 on the Plateau...74-84 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent on the Plateau...40-50 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 62 to
70. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
$$
AZZ109-110115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....52-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 62 to 69. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-110115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 73. South
winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-110115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....51-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers. Highs 63 to 69. West winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ111-110115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Rain showers likely through the night. Slight
chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....48-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 57 to
67. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-110115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Rain showers through the night. Slight chance
of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....51-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers. Highs 58 to 65. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 66. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs
61 to 67. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ112-110115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest with gusts up to 25 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 75. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 77. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 76. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ113-110115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /155 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 74. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 75. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-110115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........57 percent below 7000 feet...43-53 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Rain showers likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....51-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........70 percent below 7000 feet...56-66 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 65 to 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-110115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-80 below 5000 feet...65-75 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent below 5000 feet...45-55 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....51-59 below 5000 feet...50-56 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-71 below 5000 feet...59-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 15 mph increasing to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-110115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-79 below 7000 feet...62-72 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent below 7000 feet...43-53 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....52-58 below 7000 feet...44-53 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-72 below 7000 feet...56-66 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent below 7000 feet...62-72 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ118-110115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1255 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87 below 5000 feet...72-82 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Rain
showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....57-67 below 5000 feet...51-61 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 25
to 35 mph after midnight.
PoP.................90 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....70-80 below 5000 feet...64-73 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 77. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 75. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 77. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR OCT 15 - 19 2025...
Below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$