Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
297
FNUS55 KFGZ 160832
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Thursday...Increasing monsoon moisture
will bring scattered thunderstorms Wednesday, becoming more
widespread Thursday. These storms will be capable of producing a
wetting rainfall. Gusty outflow winds and flash flooding will be the
primary hazards. Otherwise, daytime winds west/southwest 5-10 mph
with gusts 10-20 mph each day.
Friday through Sunday...Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity
Friday, beginning to decrease in coverage for the weekend. Wetting
rains are likely within any stronger storms. Winds west/southwest 5-
10 mph with gusts 10-20 mph each day. Gusty, erratic winds possible
in and around thunderstorm
AZZ115-170130-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the night. Chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....47-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast
10 to 20 mph after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze in the morning. Chance of
rain showers in the morning. Thunderstorms
likely through the day. Rain showers likely in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-82.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 10 to 20 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 76 to 86. Light
winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ106-170130-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....94-102 at the River...81-91 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent at the River...20-25 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Haze through the night. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....69-76 at the River...59-69 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95 at the River...72-82 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........18-28 percent at the River...29-39 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 86 to 96. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 99. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-170130-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....Around 82 below 5000 feet...around 79 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the night. Chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 67 below 5000 feet...around 64 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64 percent below 5000 feet...67 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast 10
to 20 mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82 below 5000 feet...around 78 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35 percent below 5000 feet...38 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 10 to 20 mph shifting to the south 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 81 to
90. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ137-170130-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight. Haze after midnight.
Min temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59-79 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the south 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ138-170130-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-92 below 5000 feet...81-91 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the night. Chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....63-69 below 5000 feet...58-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent below 5000 feet...60-80 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
10 to 20 mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Thunderstorms likely through the day.
Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 83 to 93. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ105-170130-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....91-101.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze and areas of smoke through
the night. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance
of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....68-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........33-53 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph becoming west 5 to 15
mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the morning.
Haze through the day. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming west
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-170130-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Areas
of smoke in the afternoon. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97 below 7000 feet...77-86 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent below 7000 feet...21-26 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke through the
night. Haze after midnight. Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....61-70 below 7000 feet...54-63 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent below 7000 feet...53-73 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Areas of
smoke in the afternoon. Chance of rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-90 below 7000 feet...70-80 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........21-31 percent below 7000 feet...31-41 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast
in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 81 to
91. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-170130-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-90 on the Plateau...96-106 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent on the Plateau...16 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Haze through the night. Chance of thunderstorms
in the evening. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....57-66 on the Plateau...69-78 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........61-81 percent on the Plateau...39-59 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers with thunderstorms
likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-83 on the Plateau...88-98 at the River.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-37 percent on the Plateau...21-26 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 80 to 90. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ109-170130-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....86-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Haze through the night. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........54-74 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Slight
chance of showers in the morning. Chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-170130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....86-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........54-74 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Slight
chance of showers in the morning. Chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 91.
Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 92. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 93. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-170130-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....87-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Slight chance of rain showers after
midnight. Haze after midnight.
Min temperature.....60-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze in the morning. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 92.
South winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming light,
then becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-170130-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight. Haze after midnight.
Min temperature.....55-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62-82 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze in the morning. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
morning, then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 77 to
87. South winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming
light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-170130-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the night. Chance
of rain showers in the evening. Slight chance
of thunderstorms through the night. Slight
chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....60-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........54-74 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze in the morning. Slight
chance of showers in the morning. Chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 86.
Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 88. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Haze through the night. Chance of thunderstorms
in the evening. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....61-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59-79 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 10
to 20 mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze through the day. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south 5 to 10
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Highs 85 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 96. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /232 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-94.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northeast
after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 0 knots increasing to
southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 93.
Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 95. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 83 below 7000 feet...around 80 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night.
Min temperature.....54-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........68-88 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
PoP.................70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 88.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 88. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-170130-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-90 below 5000 feet...77-87 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent below 5000 feet...26-36 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....52-62.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent below 5000 feet...73-93 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Thunderstorms likely through the day.
Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-88 below 5000 feet...75-85 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........25-35 percent below 5000 feet...31-41 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 89. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 89. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ117-170130-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze in the morning. Chance of
rain showers in the morning. Chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-86 below 7000 feet...71-81 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent below 7000 feet...27-37 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night.
Min temperature.....53-61 below 7000 feet...45-55 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........74-94 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the east 5
to 15 mph after midnight.
PoP.................70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-86 below 7000 feet...70-80 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent below 7000 feet...29-39 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Highs 77 to
87. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ118-170130-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
132 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95 below 5000 feet...81-90 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent below 5000 feet...22-32 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....61-71 below 5000 feet...52-62 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........65-85 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Rain showers likely through the
day. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95 below 5000 feet...80-89 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent below 5000 feet...26-36 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 21 - 25 2025...
Above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$