Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
133
FNUS55 KFGZ 140802
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Tuesday...Scattered showers and
thunderstorms start early this morning and last all day. The focus
will mainly be on the eastern half of the state. Showers and
thunderstorms may continue overnight Monday into Tuesday morning.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms develop Tuesday
afternoon, with the eastern half of the state again being the main
focus. Winds S-SW 10-20 mph, gusts to 25 mph can be expected each
day. Temperatures will remain right around normal.
Wednesday through Friday...Shower and thunderstorm chances continue
each day as multiple disturbances cross the state this week. Daily
coverage may be dependent on activity from the previous day and
remaining debris cloud cover. Daytime winds SW 10-20 mph.
AZZ115-150115-
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....46-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 69 to
79. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 70 to 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 71 to 81. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-150115-
Grand Canyon Country-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Tusayan, Supai,
and Grand Canyon North Rim
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-98 at the River...72-82 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........25-35 percent at the River...37-47 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....65-73 at the River...52-62 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent at the River...73-93 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95 at the River...71-81 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent at the River...35-45 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-150115-
Yavapai County Mountains-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day.
Max temperature.....Around 78 below 5000 feet...around 74 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....55-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........79-99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Slight chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 78 below 5000 feet...around 75 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 76 to 84. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 87. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-150115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Chance of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....60-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 88 to 98. East winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-150115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....60-67 below 5000 feet...57-66 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 76 to
86. Light winds becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-150115-
Marble and Glen Canyons-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers
through the night.
Min temperature.....62-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-150115-
Kaibab Plateau-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-86 below 7000 feet...68-78 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent below 7000 feet...37-47 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....56-63 below 7000 feet...49-56 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-84 below 7000 feet...68-76 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent below 7000 feet...34-44 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 73 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-150115-
Coconino Plateau-
Including the city of Valle
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-83 on the Plateau...88-98 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent on the Plateau...22-32 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....54-63 on the Plateau...63-73 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...60-80 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Slight chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-82 on the Plateau...87-97 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........29-39 percent on the Plateau...20-30 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 84. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 76 to 85. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ109-150115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers
through the night.
Min temperature.....57-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........72-92 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 75 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 76 to
83. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-150115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 73 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 74 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 83. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-150115-
Chinle Valley-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-84.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....56-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 74 to
81. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 74 to 80. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 75 to 81. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-150115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....52-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 66 to 76. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 66 to 76. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 67 to 77. Light winds.
$$
AZZ139-150115-
Black Mesa Area-
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........71-91 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 70 to
77. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 70 to 77. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 71 to 78. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-150115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Including the cities of Wupatki National Monument and Tuba City
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....56-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77 to
86. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 86. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 87. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-150115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....56-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 76 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 84. Light winds.
$$
AZZ114-150115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026 /202 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77 below 7000 feet...around 74 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48 percent below 7000 feet...51 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57 below 7000 feet...around 54 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........93 percent below 7000 feet...98 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77 below 7000 feet...around 74 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 71 to 79. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 73 to 81. Light winds.
$$
AZZ116-150115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-83 below 5000 feet...71-79 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....57-64 below 5000 feet...53-60 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent below 5000 feet...98 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-84 below 5000 feet...70-79 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent below 5000 feet...45-55 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 69 to 79. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 82. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-150115-
White Mountains-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-82 below 7000 feet...64-74 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........39-49 percent below 7000 feet...47-57 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....53-60 below 7000 feet...44-54 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-82 below 7000 feet...65-75 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........36-46 percent below 7000 feet...45-55 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Highs 69 to 79. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-150115-
Northern Gila County-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
102 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-91 below 5000 feet...74-84 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....61-71 below 5000 feet...54-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........73-93 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent decreasing to 30 percent after
midnight.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-90 below 5000 feet...75-84 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 89. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR SEP 19 - 23 2026...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$