Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
039
FNUS55 KFGZ 150928
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Saturday and Sunday...Turning cooler with increasing
showers, and a slight chance of thunder, from west to east through
the day on Saturday. Widespread rain continues Saturday night with
some snow mixing in at times in the higher elevations on Sunday.
South to southwest winds 5-15 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph on
Saturday, increasing to 10-20 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph on Sunday.
Monday through Wednesday...A 10-30% chance of showers on Monday,
mainly across the higher terrain of northwestern Arizona, then
increasing chances for rain/snow Tuesday and Wednesday area-wide.
South to southwest winds 5-15 mph each day.
AZZ115-160115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....57-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots increasing to south
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening, then rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....31-41.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........South 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....43-53.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 43 to
53. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers, snow showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs 40 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and showers.
Highs 38 to 47. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-160115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-76 at the River...56-66 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-28 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots increasing to south
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....48-54 at the River...37-47 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent at the River...79-99 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....55-63 at the River...43-52 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent at the River...58-68 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph becoming southwest 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 51 to 61. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 48 to 58. Light winds becoming southeast
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 47 to 57. Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-160115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 66 below 5000 feet...around 62 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to around 20
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 49 below 5000 feet...around 46 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35
mph.
Free winds..........South 45 to 55 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....48-56.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 49 to
57. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 44 to 52. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 44 to 52. Light winds.
$$
AZZ137-160115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph increasing to 35 to 45 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....43-53.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 45 to 55 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 56 to
66. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 50 to 60. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 51 to 61.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ138-160115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....45-50 below 5000 feet...40-49 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-58 below 5000 feet...47-57 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent below 5000 feet...64-74 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph becoming southwest 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................100 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 49 to
59. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 45 to 55. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 44 to 54.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-160115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....63-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the night.
Min temperature.....43-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........75-95 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....53-60.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 52 to 59. Light winds becoming
south 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 49 to 56. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 47 to 54.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-160115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....60-70 below 7000 feet...54-62 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-27 percent below 7000 feet...23-33 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....40-47 below 7000 feet...33-41 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Snow showers in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....48-56 below 7000 feet...41-50 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent below 7000 feet...63-73 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 45 to
55. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 53. Light winds
becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds.
$$
AZZ107-160115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-67 on the Plateau...67-77 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent on the Plateau...18-28 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Rain showers likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....39-48 on the Plateau...45-55 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...69-89 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........South 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....47-53 on the Plateau...56-64 at the River.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent on the Plateau...40-50 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 48 to 56. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 45 to 52. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs 43 to 51. Light winds.
$$
AZZ109-160115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....61-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....41-47.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph increasing to southwest 35
to 45 mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-58.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 49 to 56. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 47 to 54. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 43 to 50. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ140-160115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....66-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph increasing to 35 to 45
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....55-62.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 50 to 58. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 50 to 56. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 45 to 51.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ110-160115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....64-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....40-47.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....56-64.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 51 to 56. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 50 to 56. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 45 to 51.
Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ111-160115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....37-45.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-61.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph increasing to 40 to 50
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 43 to 53. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, slight chance of
thunderstorms and snow showers. Highs 45 to 55. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 39 to 49. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-160115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....40-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph increasing to 35 to 45
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-56.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 46 to 52. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 45 to 51. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 40 to 46. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....64-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-99 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....53-61.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 53 to 60. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 50 to 57. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 47 to 53.
Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ113-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-99 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph increasing to 35 to 45
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....55-63.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up
to 25 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 25
mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to southwest
around 25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 54 to 60. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 51 to 57. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs 46 to 52. Light
winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ114-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....66-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy smoke.
Min temperature.....Around 47 below 7000 feet...around 43 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78 percent below 7000 feet...81 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day. Slight
chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....55-63.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63 percent below 7000 feet...52-62 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph increasing to southwest 15
to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph increasing to 40 to 50
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 53 to 58. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 51 to 57. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 45 to 50.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ116-160115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....63-71 below 5000 feet...60-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....36-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-79 percent below 5000 feet...73-83 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......46 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 46 to 54. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 42 to 52. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely and chance of
showers. Highs 40 to 47. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ117-160115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....63-70 below 7000 feet...55-65 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to southwest 20
to 30 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy smoke through the night. Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....40-47 below 7000 feet...33-43 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers in the afternoon. Patchy
smoke in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-58 below 7000 feet...43-53 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent below 7000 feet...59-69 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph increasing to 40 to 50
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 46 to 56. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, slight chance of
thunderstorms and snow showers. Highs 44 to 54. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Snow showers, showers likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 37 to 47. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ118-160115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
228 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy smoke in the morning.
Max temperature.....68-78 below 5000 feet...64-73 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....45-55 below 5000 feet...39-49 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....54-64 below 5000 feet...49-59 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds
becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 49 to 59. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs 46 to 56. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR NOV 20 - 24 2025...
Below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$