Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
582
FNUS55 KFGZ 210815
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Saturday...Look for isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening across northern
Arizona with the main focus located from the Mogollon Rim northward.
Stronger storms will bring hail, gusty and erratic winds, and localized
heavy rainfall. Away from storms, winds look to be variable 5-15 mph
each day.
Sunday through Tuesday...Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms
on Sunday and Monday, becoming more isolated on Tuesday. Stronger
storms will bring hail, gusty and erratic winds, and localized heavy
rainfall. Winds southwest to west at 5-15 mph each day, with gusty
and erratic winds possible near storms.
AZZ115-220115-
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....51-61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........58-78 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90.
Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
$$
AZZ106-220115-
Grand Canyon Country-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Tusayan, Supai,
and Grand Canyon North Rim
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....95-105 at the River...82-92 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent at the River...20-30 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....68-74 at the River...57-67 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent at the River...40-60 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....96-106 at the River...83-93 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-220115-
Yavapai County Mountains-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92 below 5000 feet...around 87 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 74 below 5000 feet...around 71 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 92 below 5000 feet...around 88 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming southeast
around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 87 to 96. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-220115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....97-107.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........41-61 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....98-108.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 96 to 106. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 98 to 108. North winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-220115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....65-72 below 5000 feet...62-71 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........43-63 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
morning, then shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Northeast winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 90 to 100. Northeast winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ105-220115-
Marble and Glen Canyons-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....93-103.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....68-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-220115-
Kaibab Plateau-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-95 below 7000 feet...79-87 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent below 7000 feet...26-36 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....61-68 below 7000 feet...53-62 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........45-65 percent below 7000 feet...55-75 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96 below 7000 feet...79-87 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent below 7000 feet...19-24 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ107-220115-
Coconino Plateau-
Including the city of Valle
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....85-92 on the Plateau...95-105 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent on the Plateau...20 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....57-67 on the Plateau...66-76 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........53-73 percent on the Plateau...38-58 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-93 on the Plateau...97-107 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19 percent on the Plateau...15 percent at the
River.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-220115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....89-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....61-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 95. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-220115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....88-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........47-67 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 95. Southeast winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 94. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-220115-
Chinle Valley-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....89-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....61-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 95. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the west in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 94. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds.
$$
AZZ111-220115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....57-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-220115-
Black Mesa Area-
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....84-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 90. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Including the cities of Wupatki National Monument and Tuba City
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....61-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....89-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 97. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 98. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....91-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 89 to 95. Light winds becoming west
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 95. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 90 to 96. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....86-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....58-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest around 5 mph increasing to southwest
10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 85 to 95. Southeast winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-220115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....88-95 below 5000 feet...84-93 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....63-68 below 5000 feet...59-65 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-96 below 5000 feet...85-93 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
morning, then shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
$$
AZZ117-220115-
White Mountains-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93 below 7000 feet...75-85 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...23-33 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-65 below 7000 feet...50-60 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent below 7000 feet...58-78 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph shifting to the north 5 to 10
mph after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93 below 7000 feet...75-85 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...24-34 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-220115-
Northern Gila County-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
115 AM MST Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....94-104 below 5000 feet...88-97 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....65-75 below 5000 feet...60-70 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........38-58 percent below 5000 feet...49-69 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 5
to 10 mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....95-105 below 5000 feet...88-97 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 94 to 104. Northeast winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 26 - 30 2026...
Above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$