456
FNUS75 KFGZ 150215
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Oak Ridge...BIA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
715 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MST on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Clear skies with light westerly winds Tuesday morning.
Thunderstorm activity looks to begin over the Chuskas around midday,
then a strong easterly outflow boundary with gusts 30-40 mph may
reach the Oak Ridge fire shortly after. Winds may return to westerly
by the late afternoon, but further erratic/gusty wind shifts can be
expected near storms. Scattered thunderstorms will linger throughout
the day, with decreasing chances through midnight. Into Wednesday,
increased shower and thunderstorm coverage will lead to more widespread
wetting rains, and increased potential for flash flooding.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Thunderstorms begin over the Chuskas around
                    1200-1300 MDT, then quickly move towards the
                    Oak Ridge fire. Scattered thunderstorms linger
                    thereafter.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....86 to 88.
Min humidity........15 to 16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph through 1300 MDT, then
northeast through east outflow with gusts 30
                    to 40 mph arriving between 1300-1500 MDT.
                    Continued gusty and erratic winds near
                    thunderstorms throughout the day.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1423.
Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13700
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    2200 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots shifting to the north late
                    in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Chance for scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms to linger through midnight MDT.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....59 to 61.
Max humidity........48 to 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......4.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    in the late evening and overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity
                    beginning around 1200 MDT.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....83 to 85.
Min humidity........20 to 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......754.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11400
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=35.6216&lon=-109.1992&clat=35.6216&clon=-109.1992

$$
Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI
Requested by...Tanya Smith
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518020.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tanya.smith@bia.gov