Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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Spot Forecast for Polishing Ponds...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
218 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on January 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions Wednesday and most of Thursday. There
is a slight chance of isolated snow showers Thursday night into
Friday morning, little if any accumulation is expected. Minimum
humidity Wednesday and Thursday afternoon range between 15-25%,
with maximum humidity Wednesday and Thursday nights in the 65-75%
range. Winds Wednesday afternoon NE 10-15 mph, light and variable
0-5 mph Wednesday night, then NW 5-10 mph mid morning Thursday
shifting to the NE 5-10 mph Thursday afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....42-46.
Min humidity........13-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable 0-5 mph until 10am then NE 10-15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Fair.
Clearing Index......385.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 knots shifting to the northeast
                    10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....7-12 above.
Max humidity........67-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable 0-5 mph after 6-7pm.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the west 0
                    to 5 knots overnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....48-52.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable 0-5 mph until 9-10am, then NW 5-10 mph until 1pm,
                    shifting to the NE 5-10 mph until 6-7pm.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......638.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.2935&lon=-110.035&clat=34.2935&clon=-110.035

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...Steve Carreon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500617.0/FGZ
.DELDT 01/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steven.carreon@usda.gov,justin.gabler@usda.gov