476
FNUS75 KFGZ 250514
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Blue Bell Fire...PNF PRESCOTT NF
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1014 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

DISCUSSION...With the passage of the storms this eve, there is only
a slight chance for additional rain overnight. Showers and
thunderstorms will develop again on Tuesday and Wednesday, with
most activity from 12pm - 6pm. Min RH will be around 25-30 percent
each day, with poor ventilation each morning. Light winds, but gusty
around thunderstorms.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Clear in the morning, becoming partly cloudy
                    in the afternoon with a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30-40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........Around 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......686.
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 0 knots shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......8.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......638.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KLIMOWSKI
Requested by...Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416659.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.timber@usda.gov