Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 221920
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Spot Forecast for Moenkopi Flooding...USDOI BIA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1220 PM MST Wed Jul 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Another round of storms are expected this afternoon.
Just some isolated storms are expected near Moenkopi, but storm
coverage will be higher upstream along the higher terrain in Black
Mesa. Individual storm intensity is expected to be a bit weaker than
previous days. Flash flood risk is lower today, but cannot be ruled
out completely with the already very saturated surface conditions.
Isolated storms will linger through the late evening today. Flash flood
risk continues to decline tomorrow, with more isolated coverage of storms.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly cloudy with isolated
                    thunderstorms through the evening. Higher
                    coverage of thunderstorms are expected
                    further upstream, over Black Mesa.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent at Moenkopi. 50 percent on Black Mesa.
Max temperature.....87 to 89.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Variable winds 3 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    near storms.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance for an isolated thunderstorm
                    through 11 pm.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....64 to 65.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    up to 5 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    near storms.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms
                    through the evening.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent at Moenkopi. 30 percent on Black Mesa.
Max temperature.....93 to 95.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Variable winds 3 to 6 mph.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=36.1121&lon=-111.1995&clat=36.1121&clon=-111.1995

$$
Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI
Requested by...N Williams
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2617980.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL norman.williams@usda.gov