394
FNUS75 KFGZ 111229
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Big Bug Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
529 AM MST Sat Oct 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on October 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...A few rain showers will linger this morning after
the passage of a front. More scattered showers and thunderstorms
begin to fire after 1400 MST today, some storms may be strong to
severe. Chances for showers over Big Bug Mesa peak between 1800-2200
this evening. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will continue
through Sunday morning, then precipitation chances decline thereafter.
Today will be breezy with gusts up to 25 mph lingering into the
overnight. Lighter winds are expected by Sunday afternoon, but gusty
and erratic winds can be expected near stronger storms.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....62 to 65.
Min humidity........70 to 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting 20 to 25
                    mph after 1100 MST. Gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......915.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots increasing to around
                    20 knots in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, becoming a slight
                    chance overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....51 to 54.
Max humidity........90 to 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest winds 10 to 15 mph gusting 20
                    to 25 mph until 0200 MST Sun, then west 8 to 12
                    mph thereafter. Gusty and erratic winds near
                    thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......7.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....61 to 64.
Min humidity........55 to 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts 15 to 20 mph
                    until 1100 MST, becoming southwest with gusts
                    to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......681.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.4298&lon=-112.3514&clat=34.4298&clon=-112.3514

$$
Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI
Requested by...Adam Mendenhall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523188.1/FGZ
.DELDT 10/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.mendenhall@usda.gov,jason.heffner@usda.gov,austin.langham@usda.gov