Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 231825
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Pocket Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1125 AM MST Thu Jul 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will heat up this upcoming weekend to
about 10 degrees above average. Thunderstorms will be less
widespread in coverage but still likely form above and along the
Mogollon Rim each afternoon including portions of the fire scar. A
heavier downpour could still produce a flash flood risk each day.
Storm motion will likely be slow with movement generally to the
north Friday and Saturday before movement shifts to off the Rim to
the west/southwest on Sunday and Monday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85-89 Rim, 96-100 lower Canyons.
Min humidity........28-32 percent Rim, 23-27 percent lower Canyons.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......943.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11800
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62 Rim, 68-72 lower Canyons.
Max humidity........68-72 percent Rim, 54-58 percent lower Canyons.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-92 Rim, 99-103 lower Canyons.
Min humidity........23-27 percent Rim, 18-22 percent lower Canyons.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......Fair.
Clearing Index......381.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12700
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    500 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the east
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon shifting to
                    the northwest late in the afternoon.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.9935&lon=-111.8547&clat=34.9935&clon=-111.8547

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...Cade Hickman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617885.2/FGZ
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cade.hickman@usda.gov