Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
369
FNUS75 KFGZ 222142
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Pocket Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
242 PM MST Wed Jul 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Monsoon activity will slightly decline in intensity
and coverage through the forecast period. Thursday will bring a 50%
chance of thunderstorms with activity initiating after 1200 MST. By
Friday, the chance of storms falls to 30%. The flash flood threat will
be lesser than previous days, though the sensitive nature of the burn
scar and low flood thresholds will prevent the risk from being eliminated.
Winds will be generally light and variable, but gusty and erratic winds
will accompany any storms that do develop.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    1200 MST.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-85 on the Rim. 90-94 at the lower elevations.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3-6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......474.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southeast
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 2000 MST.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
Min temperature.....57-67.
Max humidity........60-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3-6 mph, turning northeast
                    after midnight. Gusty and erratic winds near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    1200 MST.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-88 on the Rim. 93-97 at the lower elevations.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 3-6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after 1100 MST. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1089.
Mixing height.......10800 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12200
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.9935&lon=-111.8547&clat=34.9935&clon=-111.8547

$$
Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI
Requested by...Cade Hickman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617885.1/FGZ
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cade.hickman@usda.gov