759
FNUS75 KFGZ 241200
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Rim Fire...USDA USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
500 AM MST Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Expect more isolated to scattered shower and storm
activity today provided my monsoonal moisture. As thunderstorm
coverage increases across the region this afternoon, winds will
become outflow dominated. When not dominated by outflows, winds
will be light and out of the southwest. The influx of moisture
by the monsoon will result in elevated RHs with afternoon RHs
only falling into the low 40s, maybe upper 30s.

Tonight will see lingering shower and storm activity in the area
until midnight. Expect good overnight RH recoveries. Smoke drainage
will be to the south.

Tuesday will be a similar story to today with elevated RHs and
afternoon shower and thunderstorm chance.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......650.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Smoke drainage to the south.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the northeast
                    0 to 5 knots overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to partly cloudy in the morning.
                    Becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......632.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Brett Iredell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416580.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brett.Iredell@usda.gov,josh.goldstein@usda.gov,Joshua.ortega@usda.gov,George.kimball@usda.gov,Kurt.mattocks@usda.gov,Cory.ball@usda.gov