Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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877
FNUS75 KFGZ 141017
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Firebox Creek...FTA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
317 AM MST Mon Sep 14 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms are developing southwest
of the area as of 3 AM this morning and will move through during
the morning hours. Frequent lightning and heavy rain will be
possible with these storms. After these storms move through this
morning, another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected
to redevelop by mid afternoon. Nocturnal showers and thunderstorms
are possible tonight into Tuesday morning. Another round of
showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop Tuesday
afternoon. Hazards with all these storms include heavy rain,
frequent lightning, and strong gusty winds under and ahead of the
storms. Outside of storms, general winds will be southwest at 5-10
mph during the day and light out of the south around 5 mph at
night.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-69.
Min humidity........61-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........SW 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......531.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
                    rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent decreasing to 10 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....49-53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........S 0-5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-70.
Min humidity........57-61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........SW 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......854.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=33.8894&lon=-109.7617&clat=33.8894&clon=-109.7617

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...AZ-SDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621660.3/FGZ
.DELDT 09/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Danny.Taylor@bia.gov,j.nosie23@gmail.com,azsdc@firenet.gov