Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
806 FXUS64 KFWD 250536 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1236 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Heat Advisory will be in effect across much of North Texas from 12 PM through 8 PM today. Heat index values up to 109 degrees are expected. - Additional Heat Advisories may be needed through next week, as temperatures and heat indices increase. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026 With the upper-level ridge remaining planted over much of the southern and central CONUS this weekend, expect hot and dry conditions to prevail across North and Central Texas. Southerly winds, subsident air, and slightly clearer skies will push afternoon high temperatures into the mid 90s to around 101 today, a few degrees warmer than yesterday. Modest humidity will keep heat indices a few degrees higher than ambient air temperature, with afternoon heat index values expected to range between 97 and 109 degrees. The highest heat indices continue to be mainly confined to areas around and north of the I-20 corridor, and the current Heat Advisory remains in effect until 8 PM for much of North Texas and portions of northeast Central Texas. Overnight, expect warm and humid conditions with low temperatures in the low 70s to low 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026 The ridge is expected to remain the dominant player in our regional weather pattern through much of this upcoming week. Though small disturbances may transit around the ridge, any rain that occurs from those disturbances will unfortunately remain well outside of the forecast area. Expect afternoon highs to increase heading into the new work week, reaching into the upper 90s to around 104-105 by early next week. Humidity will also remain elevated as no frontal intrusion or slug of dry air are expected, and will keep daily heat indices between 100-110 degrees. All this being said, additional Heat Advisories will likely be needed daily through midweek in portions of North and Central Texas. Make sure to stay cool and hydrated, and to avoid excess time outside during the heat of the day. By the end of the forecast period, long-range guidance shows the upper level trough over the eastern CONUS digging a bit further south, which may shunt the ridge back to the west over the first week of August. This may help to shave a few degrees off of afternoon temperatures, but this is too far out to really dig into at this time. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026 Southerly winds around 11-14 kt will continue at all TAF sites over the next 24-30 hours. Some low-mid level SCT-BKN clouds ~5-7 kft and ~15 kft will likely move over the airports at times this morning into the afternoon, but cigs will remain VFR through the next 30 hours. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 100 81 102 81 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 98 77 98 78 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 96 77 97 76 / 10 0 0 0 Denton 101 79 102 79 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 99 80 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 100 81 102 81 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 99 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 98 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 97 75 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 100 75 101 75 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-146. && $$ SHORT TERM...Prater LONG TERM....Prater AVIATION...Prater