Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
264 FXUS64 KFWD 102328 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 628 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...New Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - An elevated grass fire threat will be present for areas near and west of I-35 on Sunday. - Warm and rain-free weather will continue into next week with temperatures 5 to 15 degrees above normal. && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1247 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025/ /Today and Tomorrow/ Mid-level ridging remains the controlling feature over North and Central Texas today, keeping the area rain-free with another unseasonably warm afternoon expected. Highs are on track to reach the mid to upper 80s with a few readings in the lower 90s possible in both the Big Country and the Hill Country. Skies will stay mostly clear with modest easterly to southeasterly winds becoming light and variable this evening. Overnight, temperatures will settle into the mid to upper 50s with low to mid 60s across the DFW Urban Heat Island and in other metro areas across the region. With no significant change in the weather pattern over the next 24 hours (and beyond), similar conditions are expected on Saturday with clear skies and abnormally warm October temperatures. 12 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 1247 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025/ /Saturday Night through Next Week/ The ridge will linger over the region late weekend through much of the next week, warranting a mostly persistence forecast with abnormally warm temperatures and no appreciable chances for rain through at least the next 10 days. The only departure from this pattern will be the slight tightening in the surface pressure gradient expected to occur on Sunday, resulting from the mid-level trough advancing across the western U.S. and the corresponding lee low developing over the Plains. The blend of breezy south winds, warm temperatures, and lowered afternoon RH may support an elevated grass fire threat emerging west of the I-35 corridor during the afternoon. 12 && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR conditions will continue through tomorrow with SKC tonight and just a few cirrus clouds on Saturday. Light easterly winds are expected tonight, switching to southerly with speeds up to 6 knots on Saturday morning. Shamburger && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 64 89 66 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 59 87 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 59 86 61 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 58 88 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 59 88 62 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 64 90 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 58 88 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 61 89 64 91 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 58 89 59 90 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 58 91 60 91 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$