734
FXUS64 KFWD 261143
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
543 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread hazardous travel impacts due to sub-freezing
  temperatures and ice, sleet, and snow on roads will continue
  through Tuesday.

- Life-threatening cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero at
  times through Tuesday morning will result in hypothermia and
  frostbite if precautions are not taken.

- A long duration of below-freezing temperatures will continue
  through Tuesday morning which will increase the risk of broken
  pipes and water damage.

- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
  however, additional frozen precipitation is not expected
  through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1222 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Remnant Winter Precipitation Impacts
- No additional precipitation is expected
- The frozen precipitation that is on the ground will begin to
  slowly melt today given direct sunlight due to clear skies, even
  with freezing temperatures.
- Surfaces that are shaded are unlikely to experience melting
  today.
- Any standing water due to melting during the day will quickly
  refreeze as the sun sets, leading to another night of hazardous
  driving conditions.
- Above freezing temperature are expected on Tuesday, leading to
  more significant melting area wide.

Precipitation has come to an end across North and Central Texas as
the disturbances responsible for our wintry mischief drift away
from the region. With no new precipitation in the forecast today
or tonight, our attention then turn to the extreme cold that will
continue through Tuesday morning.

Temperatures this morning will be the coldest in our northwestern
counties, from around Bowie to Graham to Breckenridge. In this
area, lows will be between 4 below zero to 0 degrees. The rest of
the area will be between 0 to 15 degrees with the warmest
temperatures across Central Texas. Wind chills will be even colder
with readings between -10 along the Red River to 3 degrees in
Central Texas.

The center of the surface high pressure will be moving across the
region this afternoon, keeping winds light across the region. By
this evening, the high will be east of our region and our surface
winds will return out of the southwest. Given the substantial
amount of cold air to the south, even with south winds, we will
continue to experience extreme cold temperatures through the
night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1222 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

After a long-duration freeze, significant improvements are
expected on Tuesday as temperatures finally rise above freezing.
The Arctic air mass will retreat northward as pressure falls
commence along the Front Range, strengthening the southerly flow
across the region. Tuesday night, temperatures will once again
dip into the teens to lower 20s, increasing the risk for black ice
where surface moisture remains.

A weak cold front will arrive on Wednesday, keeping cold
temperatures in place throughout the day. Highs will likely be in
the 30s along and north of the I-20 corridor, with lower to mid
40s south of I-20. The warmest day of the week is shaping up to be
Thursday as south winds once again return in response to low-level
cyclogenesis along the Front Range. As the area of low pressure
slides east, it will drag a trailing cold front into North and
Central Texas. This cold front is currently expected to arrive on
Friday, knocking highs back into the mid 30s to mid 40s. The cold
temperatures will persist through the weekend with indications of
a secondary surge of cold air prior to sunrise Saturday. If the
secondary surge arrives, it would keep afternoon temperatures in
the mid to lower 30s across North Texas with those along the Red
River below the freezing mark for afternoon highs. Thankfully, the
Pacific system we have been monitoring is expected to take a more
southerly track, avoiding all of North Texas and parts of Central
Texas. A few rain showers cannot be ruled out on Saturday across
the Brazos Valley before exiting the region by Saturday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Mid level clouds will pass harmlessly overhead today as yet
another shortwave trough sweeps through the Plains. A few rogue
flurries may accompany these clouds, but will hold off mentioning
-SN in the TAFs for now unless the ongoing RADAR echoes northwest
of the Metroplex start to make it farther southeast than expected.
In either case, little to no impacts are expected.

North winds around 10kt will back to the southwest after 00Z this
evening as surface high pressure slides southeast across Central
Texas. Southwest winds will be fairly light, or generally in the 5
to 10 kt range. There is a slim chance for patchy freezing fog
tonight, but better chances will occur Tuesday night/Wednesday
morning.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    28  15  42  22 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                29  14  40  18 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               28   7  36  16 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              26   8  40  15 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            25  11  38  18 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              29  13  40  21 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             27  10  40  19 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           30  15  42  23 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              31  12  45  20 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       28  10  45  16 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...30/MB