Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
416 FXUS64 KFWD 032344 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 644 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Periodic storm chances will continue through the weekend with the highest coverage Friday night through Sunday. The severe weather threat is low, but strong storms could produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall. && .SHORT TERM... (This Afternoon through Thursday Night) Issued at 137 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 A little less active afternoon and evening is in store for most of the region, but a few pop up showers and storms are still expected to develop just about anywhere across North and Central TX. Our southern Central TX counties may see slightly higher coverage (~30-40%) early this evening before most of the activity dissipates after 9-10 pm. The overall severe weather risk remains low, but we can`t rule out a strong storm or two with gusty winds, small hail, and locally heavy rain. Most of the night should remain fairly quiet, but a couple of stray showers/storms may still impact some of our southern zones through portions of the overnight hours. An area of low pressure along the TX/LA coast will continue to push inland late tonight into tomorrow, which will bring the potential for scattered showers and storms for portions of East TX as early as tomorrow morning. Additional daytime warm advection showers and storms will develop in the afternoon, mainly for areas along and east of I-35. Given the proximity of the low to our east, coverage will be slightly higher for our East TX counties. Again, any stronger storm may be capable of producing small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall resulting in at least some flooding in any urban or low-lying area. Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will remain slightly below average with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows Thursday night in the 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 114 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 Daily showers and storm chances will persist through early next week with the highest coverage expected from Friday night through Sunday. Large scale troughing will continue to dominate the region with an area of low pressure moving from the southwest to the northeast. This will continue to fetch good moisture into the region with decent instability still in place. Multiple waves of showers and storms will spread across our area, but at this time is still a little difficult to pin-point any specific timing for any location. Depending on how fast the upper low moves atop, is when we will see the highest coverage of showers/storms. While not everyone will see rain all day every day, we will have to monitor the potential for locally heavy rain over the weekend if multiple rounds of precipitation move over the same area. Details will continue to be refined as we get closer to the period. With the clouds and rain chances, temperatures won`t be as warm as our typical early summer day. Highs may stay in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees through Sunday. As a mid-level ridge gets closer to our area next week, we will see rain chances coming down but the warmer temperatures will return with widespread highs in the low to mid 90s by next Wednesday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 The radarscope remains clear around the Metroplex at this hour with precipitation remaining well west, east, and south of the D10 terminals. VCTS will be carried at KACT for another few hours until the seabreeze activity across the Brazos Valley dissipates later this evening. We will be monitoring the outflow from this thunderstorm activity to see if any isolated development can make it into the southern reaches of the Metroplex before completely dissipating with the loss of daytime heating. VFR conditions will prevail through much of the night with MVFR/IFR cigs approaching KACT and the Metroplex sites after 10Z-11Z Thursday morning. These cigs may be more intermittent at times over the Metroplex, but have opted to go ahead and keep a BKN015 line in the TAF at this moment. Otherwise, expect southeasterly winds to continue through the TAF period with potentially a better chance for rain Thursday afternoon. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 72 87 72 87 / 10 20 10 30 Waco 70 85 71 85 / 30 20 10 50 Paris 70 82 69 84 / 10 60 20 20 Denton 71 86 72 86 / 10 20 10 30 McKinney 71 84 71 85 / 10 30 10 30 Dallas 72 88 72 88 / 10 20 10 30 Terrell 70 85 70 86 / 10 40 10 40 Corsicana 71 87 72 87 / 20 40 20 40 Temple 70 86 71 85 / 30 20 20 50 Mineral Wells 69 86 70 85 / 10 10 10 40 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Sanchez LONG TERM....Sanchez AVIATION...Langfeld