Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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671
FXUS64 KFWD 091016
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
516 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and rain-free weather will continue into next week with
  temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 101 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
/Through Tonight/

As low-level flow returns to easterly today due to a repositioning
of the surface ridge axis, a fetch of drier low-level air will
ensue which will nullify our rain chances. Highs will remain
above normal in the upper 80s to lower 90s with less cloud cover
present compared to yesterday, while an anomalously strong upper-
level ridge continues to amplify to our west. Overnight lows will
be in the 60s with a smattering of 50s in outlying areas.

-Stalley

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 101 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
/Friday Onward/

Drier air will continue to advect in from the east heading into
the upcoming weekend, sending dewpoints in the the 50s and even
upper 40s. This could culminate in an increase in wildfire
activity given the resultant low humidity and increasingly dried
fuels. While modest wind speeds may temper this threat on Friday
and Saturday, breezier conditions are forecast on Sunday while RH
remains low and temperatures climb above normal. An increase in
humidity and cloud cover should occur heading into next week, but
rain chances will remain absent as upper ridging prevails aloft.
Near or above normal temperatures will continue for at least the
next 10 days.

-Stalley

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through the period. Winds will be out of the
E/ENE with headings oscillating between 060-110 for the next 24
hours. Speeds will remain around 10 kts or less.

-Stalley

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    64  88  63  90  66 /   5   0   0   0   0
Waco                62  88  60  88  62 /   5   0   0   0   0
Paris               56  84  57  86  62 /  10   0   0   0   0
Denton              57  87  58  89  61 /   5   0   0   0   0
McKinney            58  87  59  88  62 /   5   0   0   0   0
Dallas              64  88  65  90  67 /   5   0   0   0   0
Terrell             57  87  58  88  61 /   5   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           61  88  61  90  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              60  89  58  89  60 /   5   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       59  90  58  92  60 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$