Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
373 FXUS64 KFWD 130600 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 100 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Warm and rain-free weather will continue through much of this week, with a low chance for storms returning on Saturday. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Tuesday Night/ Although ridging remains in control across North and Central Texas, an elongated shortwave is making its way across West Texas and Oklahoma at this time. Although a few showers are ongoing in the aforementioned area, we`ll remain precipitation-free as subsident air continues overhead. We`ll continue to see passing high clouds through the morning before skies begin to clear out this afternoon. Above normal temperatures will continue with highs reaching the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Overnight lows will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Winds today will be from the southeast with speeds below 10 mph. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Wednesday Onward/ As the shortwave mentioned in the short-term discussion moves away from the region, high pressure will once again become centered atop North and Central Texas. This will continue to yield above normal temperatures and precipitation-free conditions. Temperature variability will be minimal from Tuesday through Saturday with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and morning temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s. A pattern change will be arriving late this weekend into early next week, however, guidance continues to diverge on the exact impacts to our region. The majority of the ensemble members show a cold front arriving Sunday or Monday with low rain chances across the region. Cooler temperatures are looking likely next week as we move into a slightly more active weather pattern. Hernandez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06z TAFs/ The tranquil weather conditions will persist across all North and Central Texas TAF sites as southeasterly winds continue. Passing high clouds will continue through the morning hours before a clearing trend commences this afternoon. Wind speeds will remain between at or below 10 kts. Hernandez && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 66 88 64 88 64 / 0 0 5 0 0 Waco 61 88 61 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 62 88 61 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 61 88 59 87 59 / 5 0 5 0 0 McKinney 62 88 60 88 60 / 0 0 5 0 0 Dallas 67 90 65 89 65 / 0 0 5 0 0 Terrell 61 89 59 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 63 90 61 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 60 88 58 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 61 90 58 90 59 / 5 0 5 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$