309
FXUS64 KFWD 190734
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
234 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...New Long Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot and humid conditions are forecast into early
  next week with little chance for rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1119 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025/
/Overnight through Friday Night/

Convection that developed off to the northwest this evening has
quickly diminished leaving behind only some remnant cloud debris.
With any mid level forcing now pulling off to the east of the
area, expect things to remain mostly quiet for the rest of the
night. There is still some low potential (~10%) that a storm could
develop in the next several hours near the Red River given a
modestly unstable and weakly capped environment, but chances are
dwindling as mid level ridging continue to nose into the Southern
Plains. Outside of this isolated possibility, mostly clear skies
and warm conditions will persist tonight.

Mid level ridging will expand into the Southern Plains on Thursday
and keep things quiet through the end of the week. We`ll see highs
in the mid to upper 90s with near zero chance for rainfall.
Southerly winds 10-15 mph will continue through Friday.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Saturday through Wednesday/

North Texas will be on the western periphery of a strong mid level
ridge over the weekend and into next week. This will effectively
keep a lid on convective chances leading to seasonably hot and
humid conditions. Highs will top out in the mid 90s each afternoon
with heat indices between 100-105 degrees. Isolated sea breeze
convection across southeast Texas may make daily runs at our
southeast counties, but it doesn`t look like we`ll see any
increase in overall rain chances until the latter part of next
week.

Dunn

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1119 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025/
/6Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through much of the night with some passing high
clouds this evening. Some stratus is expected to develop in the
Hill Country and will likely spread north through ACT over the
next several hours. We`ll continue a brief TEMPO at GKY/DAL/DFW
for stratus after sunrise, but otherwise VFR will prevail through
the day Thursday with south winds 10-15 kt.

Dunn

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    95  78  96  78  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                93  75  93  75  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               90  74  92  75  92 /  10   0   0   0   0
Denton              95  76  96  75  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            93  76  95  77  94 /   5   0   0   0   0
Dallas              95  78  96  78  97 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             93  75  93  75  92 /   5   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           93  76  93  76  93 /   5   0   0   0   0
Temple              94  74  94  74  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       95  74  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$