892
FXUS64 KFWD 261034
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
534 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...New Aviation, Short Term...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:

No changes needed to the current forecast through Friday. Sunny
skies, north winds around 10 mph, and temperatures in the 80s will
prevail to end the week.

Dunn

Previous Discussion:
/Overnight through Friday/

Quiet fall weather will dominate North Texas weather through the
end of the week with sunny afternoon skies, low humidity, and
near normal temperatures. Last night`s cold front has pushed well
south of the area leaving cooler and drier conditions in its wake.
We`ll see temperatures fall into the upper 50s and low 60s both
tonight and Thursday night. Highs on Thursday will top out in the
lower 80s with a nudge upward into the mid 80s by Friday.

Hurricane Helene is expected to make landfall along the Florida
panhandle Thursday evening and its remnants will drift inland and
westward across the Mid South through Friday where a large upper
trough currently resides. Some residual precipitation will wrap
around the back side of this upper trough into the Ozarks, but
will remain well removed from North Texas.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 411 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024/
/Friday Night Onward/

A rain-free and mostly seasonable forecast is in store for the
next several days. North and Central Texas will remain generally
under the influence of drier, northerly flow aloft through the
next week, with ridging situated to the west and troughing across
the eastern U.S.

Highs this weekend will reach the mid and upper 80s with overnight
lows in the low/mid 60s, with the exception of some locations out
west dropping into the upper 50s. The start of the work week will
be slightly above normal with a few readings in the low 90s as
ridging expands further east. An upper level trough will extend
south out of Canada and shift east early next week, sending a
cold front through much of the Plains and into the Midwest.
Currently, this doesn`t look to have much cold air behind it for
North & Central Texas, and will likely not have much of an impact
on temperatures; however, there is not much run to run consistency
yet on the strength of this front and how far south the trough
will dig.

Gordon

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through the period with north winds around 10 kt.
No significant aviation concerns are expected through Friday.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    84  64  85  65  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                84  60  87  61  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               83  59  83  62  84 /   0   0   5   5   0
Denton              84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            85  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              85  63  87  64  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             84  60  85  62  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           86  61  86  64  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              87  59  89  61  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       85  59  87  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$