Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
252 FXUS64 KFWD 042323 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 623 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Moderate to heavy rain may lead to quick ponding of roads across the Brazos Valley through this afternoon. Rain chances will come to an end by sunset this evening. - A few days of near or below normal temperatures can be expected through the middle of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday Night) Issued at 129 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026 The cold front has cleared all of North and Central Texas, ushering in cooler weather along with a gradual clearing of skies from northwest to southeast. Post-frontal rainfall will continue through the rest of the afternoon across the Brazos Valley and our southeastern counties as they await the arrival of the drier airmass. With the dense cloud cover clearing from northwest to southeast, expect some warming through the afternoon with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Compare this to 24 hours ago where highs were in the 80s across the region! All precipitation is expected to shift east and southeast of our region by tonight as surface high pressure settles to our north. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s to lower 50s thanks to the continued cold air advection and clear skies. Make sure to grab that light jacket tomorrow morning if you plan on attending any Easter morning celebrations! Surface ridging will continue to be in control on Sunday as winds maintain a northerly to northeasterly component. This will keep afternoon highs in the 60s and 70s with clear to mostly clear skies across much of the region. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 129 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026 Monday will be a day of transition across North and Central Texas as the ridge shifts east, turning our winds to a southeasterly direction. This will lead to slight warming trend as we approach the middle of the week with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Overall, expect several quiet and comfortable days through much of the work week. A more notable change will take shape late Thursday into Friday thanks to stronger southerly flow across the region. Moisture will be on the rise By late Thursday into Friday in conjunction with a deepening trough to our west. The longwave trough will likely send several shortwaves our way, increasing rain chances through the weekend. This far out, no single day shows a sizable severe weather threat, however, this will continue to be assessed given we are in our more typical severe weather season and a dryline won`t be too far off to our west. More details to come in the next couple of days! && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 621 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026 Gusty north winds this evening of 15-25 knots will decrease to 5-10 knots by 02Z. Expect the return of gusty winds after 17Z tomorrow with gusts 20-25 kts. North flow and VFR conditions will prevail the duration of this forecast period at all TAF sites. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 49 71 50 73 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 49 68 49 70 / 10 0 0 0 Paris 44 68 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 44 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 46 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 50 70 51 73 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 47 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 49 72 49 74 / 10 0 0 0 Temple 50 71 49 73 / 10 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 44 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hernandez LONG TERM....Hernandez AVIATION...Darrah