Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
450 FXUS64 KFWD 081127 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 527 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Clouds will linger into the early morning hours across our far eastern counties. Otherwise, cool weather will prevail through Tuesday with a warmup through Thursday. - The next strong cold front is expected to arrive on Friday and will bring another shot of colder air for next weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 High pressure continues to settle in across North Texas late this evening behind yesterday`s cold front. North winds around 10 mph will diminish and become light closer to morning. There is still a decent amount of moisture around 925 mb east of I-35 and this resulting in extensive low cloud cover. Persistent isentropic downglide through the overnight hours should work to erode much of these clouds through the early morning hours leaving behind mostly clear skies. There is some very low potential for patchy fog across our west and northwest counties closer to morning as dewpoints are in the upper 20s and lower 30s and temperatures will likely fall to the dewpoint by this time. We`ll continue to monitor this potential as temperatures below freezing could result in some patchy freezing fog. Otherwise, it`ll be a nice but cool day Monday with highs in the 50s and a light north wind. The pleasant weather will continue into Tuesday with a slight warmup into the 60s and a return to light southerly winds. Dunn && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 The extended forecast continues to look fairly quiet through Thursday with temperatures warming into the upper 60s and lower 70s beneath dry northwest flow aloft. A strong late week shortwave trough will swing through the Great Lakes on Friday and will usher a fairly strong cold front southward through the Plains. This front will likely move through North Texas on Friday with brisk north winds and colder air spilling southward. The front looks like it will come through dry, but the latest guidance points to an upstream shortwave kicking out of the southwest U.S. over the weekend. With ample moisture above the shallow colder air, modest isentropic ascent would likely lead to at least some light rain over the weekend. At this time, we`ll keep the forecast dry, but continue to monitor over the coming days. Dunn && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 521 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 VFR prevails across the region this morning with north winds around 5 kt. There is some very low potential for 5SM BR to develop over the next few hours, but we`ll maintain VFR for now and continue to monitor. Clouds to the north will also try to spread southward but will be fighting drier air over the next few hours, so we don`t anticipate them making it to the major airports through the morning. North winds 5 to 10 kt should prevail for much of the day then will become southerly after sunset around 5 kt. South winds will increase on Tuesday to around 15 kt with VFR prevailing. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 52 37 65 45 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 55 35 64 44 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 49 32 59 41 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 52 32 64 40 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 52 34 63 42 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 52 37 64 45 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 52 33 63 42 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 54 36 65 45 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 56 33 66 43 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 56 34 70 41 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$