929
FNUS74 KFWD 261213
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Clymer Meadow Preserve RX...The Nature Conservancy - TX
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
713 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny, hot, and humid weather is expected today with highs
near 100 degrees and a heat index near 110 degrees. Abundant low-
level moisture will keep afternoon minimum RH in the 40-45%
range. A south-southwest wind around 6-11 mph will prevail through
this evening with occasional gusts up to 15 mph. An isolated
storm or two associated with a weakening complex of storms
currently over eastern Oklahoma may approach the burn site around
midday today (~20% chance). The better chances will be off to the
east. Another complex of storms may push toward the burn site late
this evening into the early overnight hours generally after 8-9PM
(30% chance). Small hail and strong wind gusts will be possible
if storms move overhead.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  39  40  40  45  43  44  42  42
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............83  88  91  93  94  96  98  99  100
RH..............80  70  64  60  56  51  48  47  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SE  S
20 FT wind spd..10  10  12  10  10  9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  16  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.2 3.0 4.1 5.0 5.7 6.2 5.5 5.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.17  16  14  14  12  9   10  16  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph overnight, then shifting to the
                    north after 3 am shifting to the southeast
                    after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north after
                    3 am, then shifting to the south around 9 mph
                    after 3 am.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  40  40  40  48  48  48  34  34  34  27  27
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............100 99  96  92  89  87  85  81  80  79  79  78
RH..............45  47  51  58  64  65  70  79  82  82  82  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   N   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.13  12  10  10  12  10  10  10  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   N   SW  S
Transp wind spd.13  12  13  15  13  13  12  12  10  10  9   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southeast 9
                    to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  30  31  28  25  23  21  20  19  18  17  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  77  79  81  86  88  90  92  94  95  96  95
RH..............85  90  88  82  70  66  64  58  54  51  49  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.6 5.0 4.4
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  10  9   9   10  10  10  10  10  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Langfeld
Requested by...Steven Goertz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416652.1/FWD
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sgoertz@tnc.org