265
FNUS74 KFWD 211701
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Starkey...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1201 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Over the next hour or two, there remains a low (10-20%) chance
that a shower or storm develops to the south of the fire. With
the outflow boundary currently to the south, this activity should
remain south of the fire. If a storm develops, any resulting
outflow winds that move north may shift wind directions
temporarily. Otherwise, expect a hot and dry rest of the day, with
peak temperatures around 104 and afternoon humidity dropping to
around 25%. Winds will remain out of the south with speeds around
5-10 mph with occasional higher gusts to 10-15 mph. Overnight,
expect temperatures to bottom out around 81, while humidity poorly
recovers to around 56%. Winds will be out of the south with
speeds around 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow, will be much of the same, with high temperatures once
again around 108 and a humidity minimum of around 22%. There will
again be a low chance for showers and storms throughout the day,
with main timing between 5-8 AM and again between 5-9 PM.
Particularly during the afternoon activity, any storm would be
capable of strong, erratic downburst winds and lightning. During
this period, wind direction changes may occur. Outside of any
thunderstorm winds, expect initially west-southwesterly winds
transitioning to more southerly winds throughout the afternoon
with speeds around 5-10 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 104.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
 near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  26  22  23  30  22
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............99  102 103 104 104 104
RH..............29  27  25  26  25  25
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 8.7 10  11  12  11
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   8   9   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 81.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  18  16  18  20  8   24  37  44  28  41  29
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............103 101 97  92  89  88  88  87  86  85  84  83
RH..............25  27  30  37  42  42  44  45  46  48  50  51
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...9.7 7.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  15  14  16  17  18  18  18  16  17

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 108.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    to southwest late in the morning, then shifting
to the south late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 15 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south 15 to 20 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  39  22  26  41  34  34  42  33  26  31  45
Weather cov.....SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW              RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............82  81  83  87  93  97  101 104 106 106 108 106
RH..............55  56  54  47  39  31  25  22  22  22  22  25
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  W   W   S   NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  12  13  12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 3.7 6.3 8.5 11  11  11  9.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   S   SE
Transp wind spd.14  14  15  17  16  15  14  12  10  10  15  21

$$
Forecaster...Prater
Requested by...seth
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620177.0/FWD
.DELDT 08/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu