Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT
295 FXUS65 KGGW 052031 AFDGGW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Glasgow MT 131 PM MST Fri Dec 5 2025 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Temperature continues to swing with an unsettled weather pattern over the next week. - A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for tonight and Saturday for most of NE Montana. - Another weak system moves through Saturday night bringing less than a couple inches of snow. The next system with snow accumulation arrives Tuesday night and Wednesday, but minor accumulations (less than 2 inches) are expected. WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A backdoor cold front was dropping south through the CWA this afternoon bringing a slight drop in temperatures to most locations. Colder air will continue to flow into the area tonight with lows from near zero in Plentywood to the mid teens south of Fort Peck Lake. Light snow was falling across the northeast zones this afternoon, along and north of a line from Opheim to Culbertson. But a larger moisture stream will push in later tonight and affect most of the CWA. By Saturday afternoon, most areas are looking at 2 to 4 inches with this system with lesser amounts in the NE corner of the state and over Petroleum County. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for tonight into Saturday morning for all zones except for Sheridan and Eastern Roosevelt. Another wave of light snow is expected to move through on Saturday night into Sunday as another shortwave trough passes through the region. Temperatures will continue to fluctuate next week as arctic air and warmer intermountain air push back and forth. The warmest day looks to be Tuesday where highs in the 30s and 40s can be expected. A cold front will drop south Tuesday night with light snow moving in by Wednesday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Increased PoP manually at times tonight and Saturday morning to provide a more consistent forecast and better match neighboring offices. There is high confidence of accumulating snow occurring tonight and Saturday with at least 2 inches in most areas. Lower confidence in snow amounts NE of Opheim, Poplar and Culbertson. There is moderate confidence in temperatures following closely to the NBM during the entire forecast period. TFJ && .AVIATION... LAST UPDATED: 2020Z FLIGHT CAT: MVFR becmg IFR/LIFR after 04z tonight. DISCUSSION: A storm system will spread snow from the W/NW late tonight. Patchy fog and snow showers this evening could lower visibilities to IFR early this evening. Ceilings will drop to IFR after 04z with the snow moving in after 09z. The snow will end from west to east by Saturday afternoon, with MVFR conditions returning. WINDS: N winds decreasing this afternoon then increasing from the East late tonight with 10-20 kts. TFJ && .GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to noon MST Saturday for Central and Southeast Phillips-Central and Southern Valley-Daniels-Dawson-Garfield-McCone-Northern Phillips-Northern Valley-Petroleum-Prairie-Richland-Southwest Phillips-Western Roosevelt-Wibaux. && $$ weather.gov/glasgow