207
FXUS63 KGID 272342
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
642 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dreary weather will continue through tonight, with patchy
  drizzle and isolated showers possible this afternoon through
  tonight. Highs will be limited to the 50s to low 60s.

- Fog, possibly dense, is possible (50-80%) tonight into
  tomorrow morning, mainly along and west of a line from
  Cambridge to Fullerton.

- Warmer temperatures return Wednesday through the end of the
  week, with highs in the 60s to 70s (Wednesday being the
  warmest day).

- Rain chances reenter the forecast late Thursday night through
  Saturday afternoon, with a low chance of rain lingering into
  Halloween evening. Additional rain chances return Sunday night
  into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 337 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Some weak isentropic lift associated with a shortwave trough
has helped maintain the low-level stratus layer across the
area. As the upper-level jet progresses eastward, upper-level
divergence will continue to support these overcast skies through
the overnight hours. This cloud cover will limit afternoon
highs to the 50s to low 60s. Furthermore, patchy drizzle and
isolated showers are possible this afternoon through tonight.
Along with these dreary conditions, fog is expected to develop
tonight into tomorrow morning. Recent HREF and REFS guidance
indicate roughly a 50-80% chance of visibilities falling below
1/2 mile tonight, primarly along and west of a line from
Cambridge to Fullerton.

After this upper-level disturbance moves off, a weak upper-level
ridge will build into the region Wednesday into Friday. This
pattern will allow for some sunshine and slightly warmer
temperatures to build back into the area, with highs in the
70s tomorrow and decreasing into the 60s to low 70s Thursday
and Friday. However, rain chances reenter the forecast late
Thursday evening through likely Saturday afternoon (though
there is a low chance of lingering rain into Halloween evening)
as a shortwave trough moves overhead.

However, the break from precipitation won`t last long, as the
larger-scale trough moves into the region Sunday into Monday.
While there is some uncertainty on the exact timing and strength
of this system, model guidance currently shows a Shift of Tails
(SOT) value over 1 for some areas. This guidance indicates that
at least 10% of model guidance is forecasting an event beyond
local records; corresponding to approximately 10% of model
guidance having at least 1 inch of rain, with locally higher
amounts possible. Later forecasts will continue to monitor
trends in the timing and rainfall accumulation.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Drizzle with reduced visibility is expected shortly. Visibility
and ceilings are expected to continue to decrease through the
evening and overnight hours. There is some uncertainty at this
point as to how low the visibility will get. Visibilities are
expected to increase around the 15z to 18z timeframe with the
drizzle ending around or just after 18z. Ceilings will increase
some between 15z and 18z and will likely reach VFR around 21z.
Although, there are some indications that KGRI will not reach
VFR before 00z Thursday. South to southeast winds are expected
through 15z then winds will become southwest around 18z. Some
gusts up to around 20 to 25 knots may be present from around 17z
to 21z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Scott
AVIATION...Schuldt