538
FXUS63 KGID 062336
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
636 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Spotty and light rain showers linger in southeast parts of
  the area into this evening. Any thunderstorms are expected to
  remain to our southeast.

- Cool tonight. Some patchy frost is possible in northern parts
  of the area, although scattered cloud cover should prevent
  widespread, damaging frost.

- "Fall-like" temperatures continue Tuesday and Wednesday...then
  warming into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Skies remain mostly cloudy and a few light showers persist in
eastern parts of the area as of 230pm. CAMs continue to suggest
that few showers could redevelop in southeastern parts of the
area (roughly SE of a line from Phillipsburg to York) late this
afternoon into the evening. Rain amounts will be light (0.10" or
less). Any thunderstorms and heavier rain should remain in
eastern and central KS where there is still some available
instability.

Low clouds clear out from northwest to southeast this evening
into tonight as high pressure pushes into the area. With the
clearing and light winds, temperatures should quickly dip into
the 40s across most of the area...and northwestern parts of the
area are expected to dip into the 30s. Patchy frost is possible,
but additional high clouds are expected to move in from the
west...preventing a widespread frost threat. Regardless, there
is a chance that sensitive plants could be damaged, particularly
in areas north of Highway 92 tonight into Tuesday morning.

Winds remain light as surface high pressure moves through the
area on Tuesday. High temperatures in the mid 60s are a few
degrees below normal for early October...but still a pretty mild
fall day. South winds increase on Wednesday, but increasing
cloud cover will result in another day with highs in the 60s.

Strengthening upper-level ridging over the central CONUS will
result in a warming trend for Thursday into the weekend. There
is a very low (10-15%) chance for rain with an embedded
perturbation early Thursday morning. Otherwise dry conditions
are expected until the next shortwave arrives from the west late
Saturday into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 632 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Expecting dry conditions through this TAF period. Seeing plenty
of cloud cover to start things off, but conditions are expected
to remain VFR, with area obs showing ceilings around 3500-6000ft
in the GRI/EAR areas. Model/guidance show ceilings lifting with
time, so kept VFR conditions going through the entire TAF
period. Winds are expected to remain light and mainly north-
northeasterly...though more variable wind direction is possible
later this evening through the overnight hours.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...ADP