022
FXUS63 KGID 032342
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
542 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold tonight into Thursday morning. Wind chills in the 5 to
  -15 degree range (coldest north and east).

- Low chance (20-30%) for light snow on Saturday.

- Above-normal temperatures return next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Temperatures are starting to fall behind a cold front that
pushed through the area earlier today. KLNX radar shows some
light returns dropping southward across the Sandhills, but this
should remain to our west.

Skies clear out this evening into tonight, and winds decrease as
high pressure moves into the area. As such, temperatures should
fall off rather quickly. Winds return to the south/southwest
early Thursday morning, which will prevent temperatures from
completely "tanking," especially in the west and southwest.
Regardless, wind chills are expected to bottom out around -10 in
some areas (especially north of I-80), and local areas could see
values dip as low as -15 degrees.

Temperatures on Thursday will likely be wide-ranging. Eastern
areas may struggle to reach 25 degrees, while some western
areas could reach the low 40s, aided by increasing southwesterly
winds. Friday will trend warmer across the area, and highs are
anticipated to be in the 40s for most locations.

Chances have increased for snowfall on Saturday as a weak
perturbation drops southward through the northwesterly flow.
Accumulating snow is not guaranteed, but the latest NBM does
show a 10-20% chance for 1"+ across the northern half of the
area.

Dry (but cooler) conditions return Saturday night into Sunday.
Then temperatures trend warmer Monday/Tuesday as the large upper
trough over the central/eastern CONUS nudges further east. There
is a relatively high (50-80%) chance for temperatures to exceed
50 degrees for at least the western half of the area Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 522 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

MVFR CIGS will hold tough for a few more hours with low
confidence of exactly when they will scatter out across the
region.

Widespread MVFR CIGS can be seen on satellite stretching from
Kansas into South Dakota. Given the apparent expanse of this
cloud cover, have a hard time believing it will clear very
rapidly this evening and extended their presence at both
terminals through 04/04Z. That said, the expanse of this low
level stratus is being partially obscured by high level clouds
streaming from the southwest across the local area, and it could
be a bit more scattered below high level cloud cover than
thought. Either way...models/soundings suggest this cloud cover
should eventually scatter out overnight as winds become light
before shifting and becoming southerly, helping to eventually
scour out any remaining MVFR stratus. As a result...VFR
conditions will return at some point late in the night and
southerly winds will become gusty during the late morning
through afternoon hours as return from around an area of surface
high pressure to our east increases across the local area.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...SR