739
FXUS65 KGJT 021750
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1150 AM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Unseasonably warm and dry conditions highlight the forecast
  through the next seven days.

- The one exception is the possibility (20-40% chance) for
  afternoon showers and storms over the San Juans on Tuesday
  afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1145 AM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND:

With high pressure in place across the Southwest, warm and dry
conditions will be favored through the weekend. Temperatures
will range from 5 to 15 degrees above normal across the region.
Sensible weather will be hard to come by, but some return flow
from a weather system passing over the front range could lead to
isolated to scattered convection over the San Juans on Sunday
afternoon. Otherwise, dry conditions persist.

WORK WEEK OUTLOOK:

Looking ahead to next week, high pressure breaks down late
Monday into Tuesday as a shortwave trough advects through the
northwesterly flow. This could lead to showers and storms over
the higher terrain on Tuesday afternoon, but with dry surface
levels in place, measurable rainfall could be hard to come by.
Beyond this week disturbance, high pressure and warm and dry
conditions remain the name of the game through the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1145 AM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period, with
generally light and terrain-driven winds.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KAA
AVIATION...TGJT