005
FXUS65 KGJT 092301
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
501 PM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated convection is expected each afternoon with gusty
  outflow winds possible through Wednesday.

- Available moisture increases through the week with an uptick
  in convection and precipitation coverage and intensity
  expected Wednesday onwards.

- Above normal temperatures will gradually cool closer to normal
  by late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1139 AM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Plenty of mid to high level clouds are streaming across the area
at the moment as just enough moisture has managed to work
underneath the high pressure. Models are indicating a weak
shortwave rotating around the high, moving across the CWA this
afternoon and evening, which would explain the convection that
models are indicating. A few lightning strikes have already been
noted along the Front Range and SW Wyoming so it`s only a
matter of time before convection fires for us as well. Despite
the clouds, moisture does remain relatively limited today but an
increase will occur later this evening and for the overnight
hours. In fact, we`ll stay a little above normal for this time
of year with a noticeable increase from Wednesday onwards. This
is corroborated by CAMs highlighting some isolated to low end
scattered convection through Tuesday with more widespread
showers and storms Wednesday onwards. Until Wednesday, look for
gusty outflow winds as the main concern. After that, heavy rain,
hail and gusty winds may all make a return though storm motion
and speed will play an important role with regards to heavy
rain. For outdoor enthusiasts, please pay attention to the
latest forecasts towards the end of the week. High temperatures
will remain about 10 degrees above more normal August values,
possibly dropping to below normal towards the end of the week
thanks to increased cloud cover and precip.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 500 PM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Hazy skies will continue thanks to wildfires across the region
but do not anticipate any restrictions to vis. Mid to high level
clouds will stream across the area keeping VFR conditions in
place. Afternoon convection is possible around some of the sites
tomorrow. A few higher gusts of around 20 to 25kt may also
occur in the afternoon.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT