Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 031110
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
510 AM MDT Sat Oct 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Unseasonably warm and dry conditions highlight the forecast
  through the next seven days.

- Isolated terrain-based showers across the San Juans are
  possible Sunday through Wednesday. The greatest chance for
  rainfall will be Tuesday, but probabilities are still below
  40%.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 940 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND:

With high pressure in place across the Southwest, warm and dry
conditions will be favored through the weekend. Temperatures
will range from 5 to 15 degrees above normal across the region.
A mild boost in moisture Sunday afternoon could lead to
isolated convection over the San Juans, but without much else
driving active weather, the vast majority of the region should
anticipate a dry weekend.

WORK WEEK OUTLOOK:

Looking ahead to next week, high pressure breaks down late
Monday into Tuesday as a shortwave trough advects through the
northwesterly flow. This could again prompt terrain-based
showers, but with dry surface levels in place, measurable
rainfall could be hard to come by. Beyond this weak disturbance,
high pressure and warm and dry conditions remain the name of
the game through the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 509 AM MDT Sat Oct 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours under passing
high clouds and light terrain driven winds.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BW/TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT