013
FNUS75 KGJT 130200
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for North Elks Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
700 PM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions continue through the period with
scattered clouds in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy by
afternoon each day and scattering out overnight. Smoke dispersal
remains poor with the clearing index staying below 300. With each
model run, the next system slows down with precipitation not
expected before Saturday night into Sunday with a chance for
wetting rain, but it`s too soon to say how much chance.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23000-36000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 mph.
Clearing Index......300.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph.
Clearing Index......50.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....48-53.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14000-30000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.
Clearing Index......220.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...Timothy Spurr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525786.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.spurr@usda.gov