052
FNUS75 KGJT 022218
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for North Elk Ridge Rxx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
318 PM MST Sun Nov 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure remains in control through Wednesday, with
light winds, warm temperatures, and dry conditions. Mixing heights
remain low and smoke dispersal poor, with a brief period during peak
heating where smoke dispersal values will reach good.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 4-8 mph shifting to the southwest by
                    1400. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-23000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by
                    1300 and to good by 1400. Decreasing back to fair
                    by 1500 and to poor (1000-19000 knot-ft) by 1600.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL by 1400, then
                    decreasing back to 0 ft AGL by 1700.
Transport winds.....South 19 mph.
Clearing Index......50 increasing to 650 by 1400, then decreasing back
                    to 50 by 1700.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph becoming downslope/downvalley
                    winds 3-5 mph after 2000.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.
Clearing Index......50.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after 1100.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0-23000 ft AGL) increasing to fair by 1200 and
                    to good by 1300. Decreasing back to fair by 1400 and
                    back to poor (0-34000 knot-ft) by 1500.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL by 1300, then
                    decreasing back to 0 ft AGL by 1700.
Transport winds.....Southwest 19 mph.
Clearing Index......50 increasing to 600 by 1300. Decreasing back to 50
                    by 1700.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Timothy Spurr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524856.2/GJT
.DELDT 11/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.spurr@usda.gov