247
FNUS75 KGJT 150130
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Sowbelly...BLM-CO-SWD
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
730 PM MDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and dry conditions continue tomorrow and Wednesday with gusty
afternoon winds of 20-25 mph expected. Some added moisture
tomorrow will prompt more scattered afternoon thunderstorms across
the region. While wetting rain is not anticipated over the spot
location, dry lightning will pose a slight threat. Additionally,
thunderstorms may cause gusty, erratic outflow winds to impact the
spot location, even if they form outside the vicinity of the fire.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................<10 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
Max humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-15 mph in the evening
                    decreasing to 5-10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 mph.
Chance of thunder...<10 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) at sunrise, becoming mostly
                    sunny (30-40 percent) by 1100 MDT. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5-15 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds at sunrise, becoming
                    northwest 10-15 by 1500 MDT. Gusts to 20 mph possible
                    between noon and 2100 MDT. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL by 1300 MDT.
Transport winds.....West 12 mph.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................<10 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
Max humidity........34-39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10-15 mph becoming south 4-8 mph
                    by midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor (1000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph becoming southwest 5 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) becoming mostly cloudy
                    (50-60 percent) by noon. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................<10 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph increasing to west 10-15 mph
                    with gusts to 25 mph by noon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 16 mph.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Braeden Winters
Requested by...James Savage
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517847.3/GJT
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL JSavage@blm.gov