285
FNUS75 KGJT 162100
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Beaver Creek Piles...Eagle River Fire-Eagle Valley Wildland
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
200 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 MST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The forecast is looking wet through about mid day on
Monday with much cooler conditions settling in. A mixture of rain
and snow becomes all snow around midnight with accumulations
looking to be around an inch. However a burst of snow with the
frontal passage tonight could bring a bonus inch or two due to the
instability aloft. Overall good dispersal is expected tomorrow.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers mixed with
                    snow through the evening then all snow
                    overnight.
CWR.................60 percent.
Min temperature.....24-29.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18000-23000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers through 1200.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....29-34.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL at peak heating.
Transport winds.....West 27 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....20-25.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-6000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph shifting to the south 5 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Phillip Karius
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526055.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pkarius@eagleriverfire.org