560
FNUS75 KGJT 172212
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Rabbit Valley...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
412 PM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Not a good situation this afternoon with Southwest
winds gusting 45 to 55 mph and single digit humidity. These winds
will gradually turn to the West ahead of an approaching cold front
that will bring a distinct shift to northerly winds. This front
is expected near the 2100 time frame. Winds should settle down
through the north but remain from the North with a slow recovery
in humidity to near 30 percent by sunrise. Zero chance of wetting
rainfall.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....91 to 94.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts
                    45 to 55 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......13500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 41 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts
                    45 to 55 mph becoming West after 1900 then
                    a wind shift to North 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to around 35 mph around 2100. Winds 10 to 20
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (26000 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......13900 ft AGL decreasing to 1700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 41 mph becoming north 18 mph overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west with
                    gusts to around 25 mph by 1300.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to very good after 1300.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to the southwest 18 mph
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Kimberly Youker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416304.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cogjc@firenet.gov