700
FNUS75 KGJT 051147
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Crosho Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
547 AM MDT Fri Sep 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on September 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Slow moving isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon will be capable of producing heavy
rain leading to localized flooding. Tomorrow and Sunday will see
similar conditions with more scattered to numerous coverage. The
main impacts with storms will be frequent lightning, heavy rain
and gusty outflow winds to 40 mph possible at times. Afternoon
showers and thunderstorms become more isolated monday onwards.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    scattered showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon. Areas of smoke in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 mph increasing to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 mph.
Clearing Index......700 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
Max humidity........64-69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 mph becoming southwest 5 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 mph shifting to the southwest 10
                    mph overnight.
Clearing Index......970 decreasing to 50 overnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 mph.
Clearing Index......680 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...zach alexander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520961.3/GJT
.DELDT 09/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zqa837@gmail.com,zacharia.alexander@usda.gov