806
FNUS75 KGJT 220224
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Babylon...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
824 PM MDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms
develop by mid day. Storms will be capable of producing lightning,
gusty ouflow winds, and heavy rainfall. As a result, there is a
moderate to high potential for flash flooding on the burn scar.
Afternoon convection is expected again on Sunday, but coverage may
decrease from what we see on Saturday. Flash flooding cannot be
ruled out, but the potential will decrease for Sunday and beyond.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Clearing Index......460 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
Max humidity........52-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8-12 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South 12 mph.
Clearing Index......690 decreasing to 70 overnight.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8-12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (39000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 mph.
Clearing Index......420 increasing to 990 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Kathryn Abbott
Requested by...Tim Spurr
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620127.1/GJT
.DELDT 08/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.spurr@usda.gov,april.groover@usda.gov