351
FNUS75 KGJT 021820
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Bald Pile burn...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1120 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MST on November 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Snow showers will taper off this evening, with
additional snowfall accumulations of up to 0.5 inches. Tuesday will
be sunny, with light, terrain driven winds. This will keep smoke
dispersal in the poor category through the day. A quick moving
system moves in Wednesday, bringing another round of snow showers
with a chance of thunderstorms. Snow showers will improve mixing and
smoke dispersal values will improve into the Marginal to Fair
category during the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers until 2400.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....21-26.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12-16 mph decreasing to 4-8 mph
                    by 2100, then decreasing to 3-5 mph by 0300.
                    Gusts to around 20 mph until 2400.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-13000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....North 12 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....32-37.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 3-5 mph shifting to the west by
                    1000, increasing to 4-8 mph by 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-13000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 2100 ft AGL by 1300.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....22-27.
Max humidity........83-88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3-5 mph becoming east winds
                    4-8 mph by 2100.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-4000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......300-500 ft AGL through the night.
Transport winds.....East 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....33-38.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4-8 mph shifting to the west by 1200.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000-16000 knot-ft) increasing marginal
                    (25000-35000 knot-ft), then to fair by 1300.
                    Decreasing back to marginal (26000-38000 knot-ft)
                    after 1400, and to poor (4000-14000 knot-ft) after
                    1600.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL by 1300.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph shifting to the west 12 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Dante Duran
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625052.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dante.duran@usda.gov