992
FNUS75 KGJT 301136
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Crosho Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
536 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Terrain based thunderstorms and showers will develop today.
Storms could produce very localized wetting rains. Gusty outflows
and small hail remain a concern, while chances for flash flooding
are negligible. Warmer and drier conditions return Sunday with
lower relative humidities and little to no chance for
precipitation. Critical fire weather is not expected to develop.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog in the
                    morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Chance of rain showers through the
                    day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 mph.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight at 5-10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 mph shifting to the south 10 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the north in
                    the afternoon at 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph shifting to the north 15 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Lucas Boyer
Requested by...zach alexander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520961.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zacharia.alexander@usda.gov,zqa837@gmail.com