085
FNUS75 KGJT 171131
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Matheson Pile Burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
431 AM MST Mon Nov 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers will be possible this morning as the last storm
system continues to shift to the northeast. Generally light winds
are expected from the south. Smoke dispersal will reach good by
1PM and drop to fair by 5PM. Flow around the next system may
allow a few showers to form tomorrow though CWR will remain
at only 10 percent. Mixing heights will lower which will keep
smoke dispersal in the poor category Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
                    (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    early this morning
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 mph.
Clearing Index......610.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downvalley 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph shifting to the east 5 mph
                    overnight.
Clearing Index......70.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Clearing Index......350.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Ginger Jui
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526078.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ginger.jui@tnc.org