083
FNUS75 KGJT 160052
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for North Elks Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
552 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front is expected to pass over the spot location early to
mid-afternoon on Sunday. Ahead of the front, isolated rain showers
or thunderstorms could develop nearby, but the stronger storms
are likely to occur as the front passes through. As temperatures
drop behind the front, look for precipitation type to transition
from rain to snow or mixed precipitation. Precipitation is
expected to let up before sunrise Monday.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) in the morning then
                    becoming cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers
                    through the day. Snow showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................95 percent.
Max temperature.....39-44.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph
                    shifting to the southwest around 1400 MST. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 mph shifting to southwest 18 mph in
                    the late afternoon.
Clearing Index......600.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent.
Min temperature.....26-31.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph with gusts to 22 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 mph.
Clearing Index......160.
Chance of thunder...<10 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
CWR.................<10 percent.
Max temperature.....34-39.
Min humidity........78-83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph. Gusts to 18 mph possible
                    until 1400 MST.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 mph.
Clearing Index......260.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Braeden Winters
Requested by...Timothy Spurr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525786.3/GJT
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.spurr@usda.gov