824
FNUS75 KGJT 022307
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Elk Fire...Rio Blanco County Sheriffs Office
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
507 PM MDT Sat Aug 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on August 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scatterd storms will continue through
this evening before coming to an end by sunset. Storms today are
associated with a disturbance moving through the region. Storms
will be capable of gusty outflow winds to 45 mph, small hail and
frequent lightning. Much drier air is moving in from the west and
will continue to move in Sunday, resulting in a much drier
afternoon with isolated storms possible over the northern Divide
mountains.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds up to 45 mph expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......13300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Becoming mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........50-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph becoming east 5 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 mph becoming east 10 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 mph increasing to west 10 to 15
                    mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 12800 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....North 16 mph shifting to the west 18 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Rhawnie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519094.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch@rbc.us