534
FNUS75 KGJT 182029
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for NZ Mesa Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
129 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Snow chances increase Wednesday into Wednesday
night, peaking Thursday as a weather system moves through along
the Colorado/New Mexico border. Atmospheric mixing and smoke
dispersal will remain poor to fair through the forecast period
with a lack of forcing aloft with light, southwesterly winds.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated light
                    snow showers.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....31-36.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.
Clearing Index......260.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered light
                    snow showers through the night.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....20-25.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph.
Clearing Index......50.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....29-34.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000-13000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 mph.
Clearing Index......140.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Kathryn Abbott
Requested by...Bryan Carpenter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526315.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.carpenter@usda.gov